Winner(s)
|
Stakes
|
Date
| Settled? |
Wager Participants and Description
|
---|
Chad
|
1 beer
|
1/10/2011
|
|
Pete A. and Derek Z. bet Chad that Oregon will defeat Auburn
|
–
|
Refill Fridge
|
1/20/2011
|
|
Derek bets Pete that Verizon will sell >15m iphones in the first year available (released 2/10/2011)
|
–
|
Refill Fridge
|
2 March 2011
|
|
Jun-Dai bets Rob that the iPad 2 OS will have a way for the user to disable video mirroring (upon release)
|
Aman
|
Refill Fridge
|
3/30/2011
|
|
Pete bets Aman that Sri Lanka will defeat India in the 2011 Cricket World Cup
|
Magesh
|
Refill Snack Bins
|
3/30/2011
|
|
Michael N. bets Magesh that Sri Lanka will defeat India in the 2011 Cricket World Cup
|
Pete
|
12 pack and lunch. To be consumed separately.
|
12/22/2011
|
|
Pete bets Michael N. that Boise State will beat Arizona State by more than the 13.5 point spread in their bowl game 12/22 (FINAL BSU 56, ASU 24)
|
Pete
|
$5
|
1/22/2012
|
|
Neil bets Pete that Newt Gingrich will win the 2012 GOP nomination
|
Jun-Dai
|
Amazon item <$25
|
1/6/2011
|
|
Pete Bets Jun-Dai that Facebook will have a larger market cap than Google on 1/6/2016
|
Jun-Dai
|
Amazon item <$25
|
1/6/2011
|
|
Jun-Dai bets Pete that Apple will be the largest company in the world (in market cap) by 1/6/2016
|
Derek
|
Amazon item <$25
|
1/6/2011
|
|
Pete bets Derek Z. that Facebook revenues in 2016 will be greater than Google revenues.
|
Rob
|
Amazon item <$25
|
3/14/2012
|
|
Rob M. bets Pete A. that Apple will have double the market cap of any other company in the world by 1/6/2016
|
Rob
|
Karaoke*
|
3/14/2012
|
|
Pete bets Rob that Facebook will have greater search ad revenues than Google by 3/14/2018
|
Pete
|
Amazon item <$25
|
3/29/2012
|
|
Andrew R. bets Pete that active Facebook accounts will be <=70% of the current level by 3/29/2015
|
Pete
|
Amazon item <$25
|
4/20/2012
|
|
Andrew R. bets Pete that Texas will make the 2012 World Series
|
(Push - Dan mumbled something about no clear metrics ...)
|
Badge of Shame
|
12/31/2012
|
|
Aaron P. wagers Dan B that Apple’s worldwide share of mobile phone sales between May 1st 2011 and Dec 31st 2012 will not increase as measured by the best available data set selected by a mutually agreed 3rd party ewe team member.
|
Pete
|
Two cocktails
|
5/7/2012
|
|
Rob M. bets Pete A. that the outage on this day was due to network issues between IIS and Tomcat
|
Andrew
|
1 beer
|
5/18/2012
|
|
Andrew R. bets Pete A. that FB will be down $.50 or more from the close Friday May 18 to close Monday May 21
|
Pete
|
1 beer
|
5/29/2012
|
|
Andrew R. bets Pete A. that FB will hit $10 or lower by Oct 29, 2012
|
Rob
|
No stakes
|
6/11/2012
|
|
Neil C. bets Rob M. that the entire keynote at the 2012 Apple WWDC will be about the new Mac Pros
|
Rob (Disputed by Neil, but all his arguments are crazy)
|
$25 amazon gift card
|
6/14/2012
|
|
Neil c. bets Rob that in fall, on the day iOS 6 launches, maps.apple.com will be a live map site like google maps, where any user can visit without an iPhone, execute address and place searches, zoom, scroll, and zoom around maps.
|
Pete (technically at least) |
Orioles cap |
10/2/2012 |
|
Neil bets Pete that the Orioles will win the 2012 AL East title. |
Pete |
Orioles cap or wear cap to Ultra |
10/5/2012 |
|
Neil bets Pete that the Orioles will win the 2012 American League pennant. If Neil wins, Pete must buy him an Orioles cap. If Pete wins, on his next trip to Seattle, Neil must go for drinks at the Ultra Lounge in Bellevue wearing Pete's cap backwards. |
|
Double or nothing on $25 Amazon card |
11/27/2012 |
|
Jun-Dai bets Pete that mingle.karmalab.net will be back up by 5pm on Wednesday 11/28. (Wager is nullified if it turns out that Pete was causing the outage.) |
|
$25 amazon gift card |
11/28/2012 |
|
Jun-Dai bets Pete that Americans be able to travel mostly freely to Cuba before January 2017 ("mostly freely meaning that a normal citizen can get a visa and travel there without providing special reasons e.g., educational, journalistic") |
Pete |
Two cocktails |
12/20/2012 |
|
Pete bets Rob that the Seahawks will defeat the 49ners on Sunday 12/23. |
Rob & Jun-Dai |
$1 |
1/7/2013 |
|
Neil bets Jun-Dai and Rob each $1 that you can buy a 27" 5120x2880 iMac by the last day of 2013. |
Lorin |
One top-shelf martini |
6/6/2013 |
|
Lorin bets Neil that a retina imac will not be announced at wwdc. |
Lorin |
One evening's beer tab |
6/6/2013 |
|
Neil bets Lorin that a retina imac will be announced at wwdc. |
Rob |
$25 Amazon card |
6/10/2013 |
|
rob bets jun-dai that there will be no standalone quadhd (or higher) displays announced by the end of the year. |
Pete |
3 cocktails (paid) |
8/22/2013 |
|
Pete bets Rob that the Seahawks will beat the 49ners in their first regular season game (9/15/2013) |
Rob |
3 cocktails (paid) |
8/22/2013 |
|
Pete bets Rob that the Seahawks will beat the 49ners in their second regular season game (12/8/2013) |
Pete |
One bottle Macallan 18, to be kept in the winner's office, for sharing with workmates and maximizing gloating (Paid with bottle of McCallan 21) |
8/22/2013 |
|
Pete bets Rob that the Seahawks will go further in the 2013 NFL postseason than the 49ners. (Tie-breaker, margin of loss in final playoff game – or final regular season game if neither makes the playoffs) |
|
$25 Amazon card |
12/3/2013 |
|
Pete bets Andrew R. that by 1/1/2024 amazon will be regularly delivering physical goods by drone in at least 25 cities. (winner gets his choice of items from amazon up to $25, delivered by drone if possible.) |
|
Lunch |
3/26/2014 |
|
Andrew R. bets Pete A. that 24 hours after King Q2 earnings their stock will be at or below 50% of IPO price. |
Pete |
coffee shop drink (paid) |
5/12/2014 |
|
Andrew R. bets Pete A. that the "existential cup" in the Bellevue HQ 15 lunchroom will still be there on Thursday May 15. |
Pete |
$1/$0.01 |
9/24/2014 |
|
Neil bets Pete A. at 100:1 that by 11/5/2014 Amazon will disclose a breach of their customer/payment data affecting at least 1 million customers. (Said breach cannot be performed by Neil Cronin.) That is, if such a breach is reported by this date, Pete owes Neil $1, and if it is not, Neil owes Pete $0.01. |
Pete |
Lunch |
12/17/2014 |
|
Andrew R. bets Pete A. that Chris Christie will win the U.S. presidential election in 2016 (Andrew claims a perfect record predicting the POTUS since 1996). |
Julie |
Lunch at John Howie (unpaid) |
1/22/2014 |
|
Julie M. bets Pete A. that the Patriots (with or without football inflation cheating) will defeat the Seahawks in the 2015 Super Bowl |
N/A |
3 beers |
8/7/2015 |
|
Sean Robbins bets Jun-Dai 3 beers that if Donald Trump loses the republican nomination he will run as an Independent |
Rob |
$50 Amazon gift certificate |
8/11/2015 |
|
Pete A. bets Rob M. that the 2016 Republican presidential nominee will be Bush, Walker or Rubio. |
Pete |
Dinner at winner's choice of restaurants (paid) |
9/3/2015 |
|
Pete A. bets Rob M. that the Seahawks will win twice as many games as the 49ners in the 2015 regular season. |
Pete |
1 beer |
9/3/2015 |
|
Mike Murphy bets Pete that Seahawks Defensive End Frank Clark will be arrested within the next 2 years. (If Clark is involved in high profile off-field incident where he is not actually arrested, the bet will be considered a push.) |
Rob and Andrew |
Lunch (Andrew paid, Rob still due) |
1/20/2015 |
|
Rob M. and Andrew R. each bet Pete A. one lunch that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for POTUS in 2016 |
(Push) |
$100 Double or nothing (No payment due) |
2/23/2015 |
|
Rob M. bets Shawn A. $100 that Donald Trump will be elected President of the United States in 2016
Rob and Shawn agree on double or nothing for 2020 election.
|
Tim |
Lunch (not expensive) (paid) |
4/15/2016 |
|
Pete A. bets Tim C. that if the nominations go to Trump and Clinton, Hillary will win by >12% of the popular vote (No wager if either fails to get the nomination) |
Dave D. |
Lunch (paid) |
|
|
Dave Drinkle bets Pete that Trump will be elected president. |
Shawn |
$5 |
1/24/2017 |
|
Shawn Adams bets Pete A. that the Patriots will beat the Falcons in the Super Bowl |
|
Lunch |
12/31/2017 |
|
Pete bets Tim C. that by December 31 2029 one of the world's top ten car manufacturers in 2015 (Volkswagen, Toyota, Daimler, GM, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, Honda, Nissan, BMW, SAIC) will stop manufacturing cars powered by internal combustion engines. (Going out of business will not count.) |
Tim C
|
Lunch |
5/31/2017 |
N |
Pete bets Tim C. that in the event Donald Trump is impeached, he will resign before Congress reaches a decision on the charges. |
Rob
|
$1/$10 |
8/25/2017 |
|
Neil C. bets $1 that the next iPhone will not have face recognition unlock. Rob M. pays $10 if it does not. |
Lorin |
$50 Amazon gift certificate |
9/7/2017 |
Y |
Andrew R. bets Lorin K. that Congress will pass a DACA replacement bill which will be signed into law by March 5, 2018 |
Lorin |
Dinner |
10/19/2017 |
N |
Lorin K-B bets Jun-Dai B-K that Paul Manafort will be indicted before Trump leaves office. |
Pete
|
Bottle of liquor, loser's choice, produced locally (within 50 miles) of loser's city, costing between $50 and $100. |
1/8/2018 |
|
Jun-Dai bets Pete A. that the S&P 500 will drop below 2,000 at some point in 2018. |
Lorin |
First $150 of bar tab next time they are out. |
3/19/2018 |
Y |
Rob M. bets Lorin K. that by EOD 4/2 Rosenstein will be fired, Sessions will un-recuse himself, OR Trump announces that he has fired Mueller.
|
Leland |
Lunch (Settled) |
5/22/2018 |
|
Leland A. predicts that BEX will receive 50 "Right to be Forgotten" GDPR requests by June 25, 2018. Pete A. predicts 7 requests by that date. (Whoever is closer buys lunch – no special "Price is Right" rule nonsense.) |
Pete |
1 bottle Deadhead Chocolate Rum |
10/11/2018 |
|
Rob wagers 1 deadhead dark chocolate rum in a monkey head that Democrats don’t win a majority in the house. |
Kevin
|
Lunch |
12/21/2018 |
|
Pete A. bets Kevin P. that the Huskies will defeat Ohio State in the 2019 Rose Bowl. |
Jun-Dai |
$50 bottle of whisky (PAID) |
3/19/2019 |
N |
Shawn Adams bets Jun-Dai that the UK will still be in the EU as of Jan 1, 2021. - $50 bottle of whisky |
Rob
|
Loser must research and take the winner to a likely-to-be really good steak house they've not heard of next time they're in the same town |
12/9/2019 |
|
Rob M. bets Jun-Dai that there will be no witnesses called in any trial of the impeachment charges being drafted by the Congress in December 2019 |
None |
One quality beer or coffee when in the same city |
2/4/20 |
Y
|
Jun-Dai bets Hutch that if Biden finishes the South Carolina primary >5% behind the Democratic winner in votes, that he will officially suspend/withdraw from the campaign with 24 hours of when a winner is declared by NYT. (If Biden wins or comes within 5%, the wager is off.) |
Jun-Dai |
$50 bottle of bourbon |
10/2/2020 |
|
Jun-Dai bets Lorin that Trump goes to the hospital (in connection with his Covid-19 infection) |
Pete |
$100 |
Oct 2020 |
Y |
Steve S. bets Pete that the GOP will take the House in the 2020 election |
Pete |
$100 |
10/3/20 |
Y |
Steve S. bets Pete that the GOP will take the House in the 2020 election |
Pete |
$100 |
9/3/20 |
Y |
Pete bets his cousin Dana that Biden will defeat Trump in the 2020 election |
Pete |
$100 |
|
Y |
Perry D. bets both Pete A. and Rich H. that Trump will defeat Biden in the 2020 election |
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